Para estas elecciones de noviembre, si además tenemos en cuenta que si las cosas siguen como en la actualidad en Estados Unidos poca gente querrá ir a un colegio electoral y arriesgarse a enfermar, es más que probable que este año el voto anticipado incluso aumente. Por tanto, disminuirán los días de reflexión de muchos votantes, que acelerarán su decisión para votar a distancia.
Quedan 100 días y pueden pasar muchas cosas. Incluso que el contexto pueda extrapolarse a 1980, con un presidente poco querido y un deseo de cambio. Esa es una de las enseñanzas de la historia para el equipo de Trump, que si no quiere que le suceda lo mismo que a Carter, debe hacer las cosas de modo diferente, y hacerlo desde ya.
Si en el contexto actual de crisis sanitaria Trump no está siendo bien valorado, y además se avecina una crisis económica, la esperanza demócrata es obviamente que le reste votos republicanos, o se consiga más movilización demócrata. Pero con esta tercera crisis, al contrario, si los disturbios van a más, podría darle alas al presidente.
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